Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.061296 0.071957 0.083859 0.098125 0.114752 0.133515 0.156292
2025-08-03 0.045401 0.059427 0.076792 0.099841 0.129603 0.166715 0.216496
2025-08-10 0.036679 0.052224 0.073068 0.102988 0.144769 0.200983 0.282319
2025-08-17 0.028906 0.044149 0.065990 0.099448 0.149294 0.220692 0.330634
2025-08-24 0.024168 0.039225 0.062072 0.099089 0.157393 0.245510 0.388614
2025-08-31 0.020362 0.034905 0.058134 0.097708 0.163216 0.267066 0.443893
2025-09-07 0.018036 0.032486 0.056668 0.099777 0.174406 0.297908 0.517324
2025-09-14 0.015627 0.029485 0.053707 0.098756 0.180066 0.320110 0.578921
2025-09-21 0.013432 0.026478 0.050238 0.096226 0.182551 0.336908 0.632908
2025-09-28 0.011549 0.023736 0.046812 0.093195 0.183554 0.350937 0.683288
2025-10-05 0.010602 0.022649 0.046299 0.095533 0.194789 0.384757 0.774258
2025-10-12 0.009611 0.021311 0.045094 0.096297 0.202978 0.413639 0.859034
2025-10-19 0.008710 0.020049 0.043911 0.097040 0.211421 0.444423 0.952317
2025-10-26 0.007977 0.019040 0.043118 0.098503 0.221581 0.479941 1.059933
2025-11-02 0.007455 0.018421 0.043070 0.101559 0.235524 0.524891 1.192931
2025-11-09 0.006519 0.016682 0.040281 0.098057 0.234472 0.537707 1.257687
2025-11-16 0.005912 0.015641 0.038941 0.097701 0.240493 0.566637 1.361822
2025-11-23 0.005317 0.014533 0.037281 0.096338 0.243941 0.590109 1.456186
2025-11-30 0.004977 0.014032 0.037026 0.098379 0.255835 0.634415 1.604861
2025-12-07 0.004516 0.013132 0.035643 0.097372 0.260026 0.660916 1.713664
2025-12-14 0.004038 0.012106 0.033789 0.094876 0.260089 0.677358 1.799501
2025-12-21 0.003594 0.011103 0.031854 0.091888 0.258460 0.689363 1.875503
2025-12-28 0.003406 0.010822 0.031848 0.094193 0.271319 0.739779 2.057343